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Showing posts from February, 2024

NEE

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  NextEra Energy, Inc. logo NEXTERA ENERGY, INC NextEra Energy, Inc. engages in the provision of renewable energy. It operates through the following segments: FPL and NEER. The FPL segment involves the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electric energy in Florida. The NEER segment produces electricity from clean and renewable sources, including wind and solar. The company was founded on December 28, 1925 and is headquartered in Juno Beach, FL. Clear super tight pattern. Great RR here. My breadth tracker has shownm tech coming to an end of its clear strength, Market wanting and needing a big pullback, and utilities/defense names starting to show strength.  NEE got killed and I cannot figure out why. NEE cut in half since ATH 2 years ago, and financials have doubled income and doubled EPS since then. Price seemingly forming a bottom, hoping to get that trend break and creation higher.  They just had earnings that closed out the 2023 year, up 10% on aobut ev...

LYB

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 LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES N.V. LyondellBasell Industries NV engages in the refinery and production of plastic resins and other chemicals. It operates through the following segments: Olefins and Polyolefins-Americas; Olefins and Polyolefins-Europe, Asia, International; Intermediates and Derivatives; Advanced Polymer Solutions; Refining; and Technology. The Olefins and Polyolefins-Americas segment produces and markets olefins and co-products, polyethylene and polypropylene. The Olefins and Polyolefins-Europe, Asia, International segment also offers olefins and polyolefins. The Intermediates and Derivatives segment includes propylene oxide and its derivatives; oxyfuels and related products; and intermediate chemicals. The Advanced Polymer Solutions segment produces and markets compounding and solutions, such as polypropylene compounds, engineered plastics, masterbatches, colors and powders, engineered composites, and advanced polymers. The Refining segment refines heavy, high-sulfur ...

CSGP

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COSTAR GROUP, INC. Fantastic steady growth. 2nd best grwoth score in sector. Super tight as is rest of industry as well. Earnings coming soon whihc is a concern, I will look to hedge this. Industry also doing very well.  Re estate name is not sometihng I am used to trading, but it came up on my radar, met requirements and we are good to go with clear bullish techincal pattern.  One concern is how long the Q% has been positive. It does not tend to ping pong like it has without going red and staying red. But we shall see.  Stop 80 In 82 PT 89 2/16 Well I was ok with the start of the trade, then we gapped down, small pop and rolled over lower hard. SPY did the same. THen I looked at industry. And it is shitting. several down 10%. Not wanting to hold that over the long weekend. Just taking a small 80$ loss, partilal offset by a put I bought for protection. All in all a loss of $60. No big deal on to the next. 

BABA

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 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LIMITED The Fundamnetal story has been beaten to death. Insane growth over last several years and stock has not reflected any of it. I have tried dip buying this thing so many times with no luck, maybe this times different.  Catalyst with china buybacks. Huge vol bump this year that has remained high. PDD china industry leader also insane moves. HTF charts show nothing special but daily with that vol and tighteness and failure to make another W low, and with Earnings failing to follow through lower, and other China names similar patterns, makes me think we might see something down here.  History is nice with M turning green in and out, 20D showing green steady. Q% change in 2 weeks will turn green as well as we elimiate Nov gap down. W% will change tomorrow to green from a -9% which is a big bump. Signs look great here.  Stop 70.50 PT 80 In 73 2/20 Saw our turn up on F. But met with selling. Trade hasnt given much so stop must remain. I still l...

Swing Trade Daily Process

 List name Ticker Description of company D W M Q 6m Yr pic Financial summary snapshot with others in industry ROIC snapshot Talk about it Query from entry Common Days from Entry Measured moves. Chart similarities from last breakouts     -MM     -Count of most common days Compare avg red return with avg drawdown     -How much should I expect,      -How much am I ok with Compare avg green return with mfe Note relative str/wk --------------- Weekly review  pic of stock at a glance in whole pic of W or M or both Talk about it Query Talk about stop adjustment, market cond, clear level there is a problem Common Days     -List them Compare to industry

PAYX

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 PAYX PAYCHEX, INC. Paychex, Inc. engages in the provision of human capital management solutions for payroll, human resources, insurance and retirement for small and medium-sized businesses. Its solutions include payroll services, hiring services, business insurance, time and attendance, employee benefits, finance and payments, human resources services and startup services. The company was founded by Blase Thomas Golisano in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, NY. Best part of this trade is RR. Chart is able to give me a very small stop.  Charts are the best aspect of this. Contiunous growth undeniable. Hasnt seen a turn lower since 2010. Everything up and up.  Queries are ok. Frequent dates looks awesome. Comparing to past similar instances, up almost 80% next week tells me breakout likely. Looking at past charts that appear does not excite me though. Either way data is data, it is higher, just not much. Indsutry is notihng special either.  We hit 2 of big 4. ...

You find a chart you like, what next?

 Found stock on watchlist Check ROIC to confirm growing and/or undervalue     -This is check if trading or not Check Watchlist Summary     -Compare Scores / Industry Performance     -Is it a leader?     - This will determine size up or not Check Finviz for Industry Performance     -This will determine size up or not Run Query      -This will determine size up or not     -Check MAE on W/M to know limits/stop/tightest add locations.     -Check Frequent days and Compare. Deep dig on Chart     -TL, Anch VWAP etc Entry on D high break or LTF MA reclaim.

Monthly/Weekly To-Do

Update Investments     -Charts, Query's.     -Must look at drawdowns.          -If up 35% of Q, what does MIN on W/M/Q look like?           -Look at prev candles history to compare similarites. Update Monthly/Weekly Setups Go through Sentiment Charts and note key trends/breaks. What to look out for.     -Create state of the market post.      -YOU MUST DO THIS     -Trend tracker review. Stat review. Trade review. Best. Worst.     -Ask the 6 questions. Your trading a business. How is your business running? Was I focused or not? Monthly alerts on SPYders     -Review these everyday. Need to be aware of sector/leader breaks.      -Make a checklist spreadsheet with notes to highlight where focus should be          -If XLY is in middle of range, then who cares what it is doing          -If XLV is break...

OPCH

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 OPHC OPTION HEALTH CARE INC Option Care Health, Inc. engages in the provision of home and alternate site infusion services. The firm provides infusion therapy and other ancillary healthcare services through a national network of full-service pharmacies. The company contracts with managed care organizations, third-party payers, hospitals, physicians, and other referral sources to provide pharmaceuticals and complex compounded solutions to patients for intravenous delivery in the patients' homes or other nonhospital settings. Its home infusion services consist of anti-infectives, nutrition support, bleeding disorder therapies, immunoglobulin therapy, and other therapies for chronic and acute conditions. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Bannockburn, IL. Great stock great setup. Continuation play here. Cant say its undervalued as it has had a major run up since 2020. Has seen a pause this year. MAs catching up, getting very tight. strong industry and sector. Loo...