MOS

 MOS Mosaic Company





The Mosaic Co. engages in the production and marketing of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. It operates through the following segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The Phosphates segment is involved in the ownership and operation of mines and production facilities which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients, and processing plants which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients. The Potash segment includes mining, processing, and selling potash. The Mosaic Fertilizantes segment focuses on mines, chemical plants, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals, and warehouses. The company was founded on March 25, 2004 and is headquartered in Tampa, FL.

A lot of major MA bounces/tests and reclaims on HTF charts. Big bases forming. 

The financials and Charts are difficult to align. All I can clearly see is that its rev has grown steadily after a downturn in 2013 which it was turned back higher into new ATH for sales in 2022 and price has shown it, then reverted back to 2008 levels despite still making more

Looking for a big bounce and possilbe trend creation again. 

I am seeing however that its TTM is drastically cut. Almost by 1/3 in income. Thats obviously a problem and not something I want to be super bullish on. The chart may say bottom, but it doesnt not have a solid reason here to begin that new trend higher. I will have to cut this short if needed as it would make the most sense. 

Its sales are 1.2x its market cap, so still telling me undervalued. 

Industry wise it is a leader behind CF in almost all. It leads in growth however. 

This is a tough one. Bit wish wash, if I had paid better attention I may have avoided this altogether but so far im holding onto a winner with good techincals. XLB also breaking out on large volume making new 52wk highs. Industry quiet with nothing to brag about, mostly edge to downside. 


Queries look good for 12/15. Green returns on avg very solid for a stock that had a 1 ATR. No big Greeen close numbers but when it doest it does have a good return. Qtr at 20% puts us at 44

If we can get that breakout which we are at the top of a falling wedge since Apr 2022, 44 looks like an excellent target as it would put us at bott of 2022 VA and breakout ove Aug highs. 

Avg in 35.28
Stop 34.90
TGT 44

Stop after BO at 38, close under 35.60

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Troublesome week. Hit and broke down TL, but failed and rejected lower back in. Stop remains the same and may bail. Is also good add spot if we can find the buying again and hold above this zone 36.50

Queries are interesting. Returns are great, but G close % are notihn special at all. Edge to green, but this really needs to make amove next week. Gotta cut as it currently is a failed breakout. Stop is a close under 35.25

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12.30

Trouble. Right at stop area but actually saw good buying. If it can turn here and make amove higher, adds will happen. Needs to see a push higher though and dips were being bought into close of friday.

W Mas very tight, will be an intersting week. Right at stop location so any move under 35.50 that sticks will be my exit.

Can always get back in.

If I bail here it is a tiny win. 

HTF Charts are awesome, so much tight coils of MAs. 

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1.5




Stock is throwing me for a loop. Weve got TL breaks and Range breaks and fails left and right. 


But we kept seeing huge vol increases towrds these bottoms. The buying is happening and it makes me want to stay.

Not to mention the 50dma is curtling up now touching price moving higher.

I did add a few times this week but am so close to cutting this trade off.

Im still right near breakeven so no matter what I am looking at here, worst case is a tiny loss. 

Queries are still even, no cause for alarm but green returns still high. Average stilll flast, slight edge to upside. 

Gotta hold this. Close under the 50ma im out or on significnat vol increase lower under 35.20. But look to get right back in if reclaims. If we dont lose it, add add add as we are so tight.

1.13

Cut all 1.8






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